Monday, April 20, 2009

Where it all heads to for Pakistan?

I have been going through quite a lot of Youtube videos from istream news which broadcasts Times Now News Service. What trickled thorugh my mind was the pace at which the news of Pakistan's continuos descent into chaos is happening. And finally I stumbled upon a new piece of video. This was shared by Mr. Jamaluddin Khan, the renowned writer of "Divide Pakistan to Counter Terrorism". Suprisingly Mr. Khan is a Pakistani himself, so I take his point very seriously. He is probably the one who knows about the interior structure of Pakistan lot better than others. I was going through his book which has intricately detailed information about the socio-cultural breakup of Pakistan, and found it quite amusing. Let me site and example first and then carry along with the discussion.
India as a nation, comprises of several ethnicity. These ethnicities are unique and are not embargoed by any particular religion. If I deduce more out of it then I can say that India is a conglomerate of cultures which are so diversified that travelling a mere 100 kilometers in any direction will bring you to a new culture altogether. We have the Punjabis, Haryanvis, Rajasthanis, Himachalis and Kashmiris in the northern India. Each having their own culture and language. We have Marathis and Gujaratis in West. The Hindi heartland comprises of UP and Madhya Pradesh. Uttarakhand is a combo of Pahadi and Kumaoni people. We have the tribal Jharkhand and Chattisgarh. The near east has Oriyas and Bengalis. Far east has people of eastern origins (popularly known as Yellow people for their Chinese outlook). Down South we have 4 big states - Tamils, Kannadis, Telugu speakers and Keralites. And we have mix of French in Pondicherry and Portuguese in Goa. So how come India is not divided. The question is intriguing but answer is simple.
Since its inception India worked towards creation of Nation and National pride in having unity in diversity. This was chartered into constitution right from the start. We had problems and they were dealt with mutual correlation and benefit. The annexing of Goa in 60s was an example of that. A Konakani revolt and a Poruguese backlash was not at all acceptable. Thus, India stepped in with major diplomatic move to cease the fighting and restore peace. Here is what it paramounts to - "Diplomacy". India has been a spearhed diplomacy driven nation which always seeks a path out instead of war. In Indira Gandhi's words in December of 1971 - "India has no territorial ambitions...". This is true, why would we need territory, when we have everything at our own lands. But one thing is there that Indira Gandhi pointed out - "India will not keep quiet if its sovereignity is infringed and will fight back to drive intruders out." Our diplomacy doesn't make us weak, which many nations fail to comprehend. We are friendly people and love to make friends. Even with our enemies, if it could bring out peace. So back to the cultural diversity. India's socio-politco-cultural diversity survives united only for one reason. The reason is the representation of people in the highest authority - Parliament. Every state and region has its representation. We are also entangled with corruption, but corruption does not suppress people movement against injustice. In India too, we have lots of problems. But we have found ways to tackle with them.
So why Pakistan? I am a little surprised after reading Mr. Khan's book. He talks about the following sections in society:
  1. The Muhajirs - People who left India and settled in Pakistan. They settled mostly in southern part of Pakistan and their major city is - Karachi. These are Urdu speaking people according to Mr. Khan. And quite obviously have Indian ethnicity as they traveled from India. Many are Sindhis too. These people are ethnically Hindus who have a mixed bag of Islam.
  2. The Balochis - These are the most deprived people and after partition in 1947, Pakistan's extra territorial claims consumed them. Balochis comprise of ethnic Iranian sect people, which even Iran recognizes. Gross exploitation of their populace and also non representation in Pakistani Parliament has made them estranged and a gruesome insurgency has gripped Balochistan.
  3. The Pashtuns - Ethnically Afghans. Mainly in lawless regions of Waziristan, NWFP and other areas of FATA. Why Pakistan never went into these regions is quite baffling. The eternal problem lies in crude feudalism that prevails in this region. Pashtuns are mostly people gripped in feudal wars. If Pakistan had checked this earlier, probably today's problem of Afghanistan wouldn't have occurred. Pashtuns are poor people with very less access to education, leave apart medical or health facilities. Pashtuns have extreme hatred for Pakistan mainstay population.
  4. The Punjabis - This sect of people dominate the country of Pakistan even though they do not comprise of more than 50% of population. After partition, most muslim scholars, politicians and highly rich moved into Pakistan. These were Punjabis. They soon took on to the system and made sure everything is reserved straight out for them. In Pakistan, they made rights and duties that served them. The other section was that of Urdu speaking Muhajirs. They too were well educated, but Punjabis soon pushed them to a brink by the might of their money.
So what it all sums to. Mr. Khan explicitly says that terrorism and its roots have become state machine. As it is practiced against the population of Pakistan as well. Leave apart terrorism incidences in India, US or UK. People are driven desperate so that they can serve the elite in whatever way they think is good for themselves. But what it has all led to is a spiral of death for Pakistan. A mere 2% population controlling the rest 98% does not work in long term. And since its inception in 1947, the first sign of break occured in 1971 when country was divided into Pakistan and Bangladesh by Bengalis. Bengalis took advantage of geographical distance that Mainland Pakistan had from Bangladesh and created a nation after a long hard fought battle against genocide and violation of human rights.
Soon it is going to happen in Pakistan too. But it is going to be a little different and with a added pinch of salt. Pakistanis created an engine of terrorism in Pashtuns who are historically tenacious fighters but not good strategists. Pashtuns are also a lot less educated compared to Punjabi Pakistanis. What this Pashtuni engine did for them was to create a safe bed in Afghanistan, which had historically opposed Pakistan, because Pashtuns, Tajiks, Kazakhs, Arabs and others hate Pakistanis for their political poking. They held it for quite long time and in fact they also think-tanked that in case of another aggression against India they could also use Pashtuns to fight for them and have least damage to their own machinery.
But the whole process went haywire when international crime and terrorism syndicate landed in Afghanistan in form of Osama Bin Laden. Osama ensured that he gets a pie of action to take revenge against USA. Pakistanis initally unaware of this sought Osama's richness and Arab ties to fuel their engine. Instead a big disaster happened. - 9/11. It was a nailing point. Some analysts say that if Mullah Omar had handed over Osama to USA probably things would not have gone into a war. But it did. Because of less education of Pashtuns and their innate ability to hide from reality made sure that America invades Afghanistan. However, just like history, these feudal warlords simply shifted bases. Once again Pakistan came into limelight. It became ally of USA but at the same time backstabbed USA by sheltering all those who ran away from Afghanistan.
From Mr. Khan's words, he says "Pakistanis cannot be trusted. They have told lies all their lives and since the formation of their country, they have not spoken a single truth."
This is very disturbing and at the same time very interesting too. Now these warlords' engines of war were routed. They rebulit their abilities and went back to fight Americans, but found out that Americans are simply too strong, unlike USSR which was fighting a war of attrition. So their territorial ambitions have grown. Now they control SWAT valley and Waziristan. They are now eyeing Islamabad. It will not take much time actually to take over Pakistan's nothern areas from Punjabis. Pakistan is descenting into civil war. What this effectively means is that it will lead to civil unrest in other parts of coutry seeking independence. Like the Balochis and Muhajirs.
Why Pakistan has descented into chaos? Answer is simple - they simply do not have a clear policy about - what to do? They created a monster but didn't make the leash tight enough. They didn't even make an antidote for the venom that this monster spits. So what they do is engage a whole army into a war. The army displaces their own people, thereby reducing their trustworthiness to 0. Then they kill and when faced with tougher enemy, they are routed. The army's morale too has taken a hit. They were allowed to fight with Pashtuns, now they have to rain bullets on them. This makes a tough nut to gulp. The Pashtuns on the other hand, have nothing to lose. If they achieve what they want after bloodshed, it would be similar to what happened in Afghanistan. Meanwhile others are eyeing this moment to actually breakaway.
I shall write about Pakistan's policies in more detail about the exploitation of its masses, genoide as a tool and terror weapon - ISI, against its own people.

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